Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Olimpija Ljubljana or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Olimpija Ljubljana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpija Ljubljana to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceOlimpija Ljubljana or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.64
Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana preview and prediction
The match
Olimpija Ljubljana travel to Sportni park Aluminij in the 1. SNL on Friday 16 October (16:30 WAT) to face Aluminij. Aluminij are 7th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Olimpija Ljubljana sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Aluminij's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Celje 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Olimpija Ljubljana's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Mura 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Olimpija Ljubljana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0 Aluminij.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Aluminij and 1.6 for Olimpija Ljubljana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aluminij 18%, draw 24%, Olimpija Ljubljana 58%.
Safer route: Olimpija Ljubljana or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Olimpija Ljubljana to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olimpija Ljubljana or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aluminij 0–1 Olimpija Ljubljana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aluminij18%fair 5.50 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Olimpija Ljubljana58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
2.36Expected goals
0.76Aluminij xG
1.60Olimpija Ljubljana xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Aluminij 0.8 – 1.6 Olimpija Ljubljana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our pick is Olimpija Ljubljana or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpija Ljubljana 58%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 0–1 Olimpija Ljubljana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
