Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.52
Celje vs Aluminij preview and prediction
The match
The 1. SNL sees Celje take on Aluminij on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). Celje are 3rd with 23 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Aluminij sit 7th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Celje's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Mura 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Aluminij's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Maribor 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Aluminij arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Aluminij 0–2 Celje. Across their last 2 meetings Celje have won 1, Aluminij 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Celje and 0.8 for Aluminij. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celje 61%, draw 21%, Aluminij 18%.
Safer route: Celje or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celje to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Celje 1–0 Aluminij. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celje61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.00
Aluminij18%fair 5.44 · @4.75
2.58Expected goals
1.76Celje xG
0.82Aluminij xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Celje 1.8 – 0.8 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Celje vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Celje have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aluminij 18%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Celje 1–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Aluminij?
Celje vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
