Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Radomlje to win @ 2.82 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNafta to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Nafta vs Radomlje preview and prediction
The match
Nafta host Radomlje in the 1. SNL on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT). Nafta are 6th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Radomlje sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nafta's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Maribor 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Radomlje's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Olimpija Ljubljana 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Nafta and 1.5 for Radomlje. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nafta 40%, draw 22%, Radomlje 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Radomlje to win at 2.82 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nafta 1–1 Radomlje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nafta40%fair 2.52 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Radomlje38%fair 2.63 · @2.82
3.07Expected goals
1.56Nafta xG
1.52Radomlje xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nafta 1.6 – 1.5 Radomlje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nafta to win✓
40%
2.52
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nafta / FT Nafta✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
Nafta – last 6
LLLDWW
30 Aug
vs Maribor
2–3
L
21 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Celje
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Radomlje – last 6
DLWLDL
29 Aug
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Aluminij
1–3
L
10 Aug
@ Mura
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Bravo
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Koper
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Radomlje.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nafta vs Radomlje?
On our numbers Nafta have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Radomlje 38%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Radomlje?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Radomlje?
Our predicted score is Nafta 1–1 Radomlje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Radomlje?
Nafta vs Radomlje (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
