Value bet: Aluminij to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKoper to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.06
Aluminij vs Koper preview and prediction
The match
The 1. SNL sees Aluminij take on Koper on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Sportni park Aluminij. Aluminij are 7th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Koper sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aluminij's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Brinje-Grosuplje 4–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Koper's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Mura 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Aluminij 2–4 Koper.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Aluminij and 1.4 for Koper. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aluminij 34%, draw 20%, Koper 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Aluminij to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Aluminij 1–1 Koper. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aluminij34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Koper46%fair 2.19 · @2.02
2.54Expected goals
1.14Aluminij xG
1.39Koper xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.1 – 1.4 Koper expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Aluminij vs Koper?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Koper 46%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Koper?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Koper?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Koper, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Koper?
Aluminij vs Koper (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
