Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrinje-Grosuplje to win ✗45% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura preview and prediction
The match
The 1. SNL sees Brinje-Grosuplje take on Mura on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nogometni park Brinje. Brinje-Grosuplje are 8th with 16 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Mura sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Brinje-Grosuplje's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Bravo 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mura's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Radomlje 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Brinje-Grosuplje and 1.3 for Mura. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Brinje-Grosuplje 1–1 Mura. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brinje-Grosuplje45%fair 2.24 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Mura33%fair 3.02 · @3.05
2.82Expected goals
1.54Brinje-Grosuplje xG
1.28Mura xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Brinje-Grosuplje 1.5 – 1.3 Mura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brinje-Grosuplje to win✗
45%
2.24
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brinje-Grosuplje / FT Brinje-Grosuplje✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Brinje-Grosuplje – last 6
DDLWLL
9 Aug
@ Bravo
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Koper
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Maribor
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Radomlje
2–0
W
2 Jul
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–9
L
30 Jun
vs HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mura – last 6
LLWDLD
10 Aug
vs Radomlje
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Nafta
2–5
L
25 Jul
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ Celje
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Beltinci
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs FC Noah
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brinje-Grosuplje and Mura.
What is the prediction for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura?
On our numbers Brinje-Grosuplje have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mura 33%.
How many goals will there be in Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura?
Our predicted score is Brinje-Grosuplje 1–1 Mura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura?
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nogometni park Brinje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.