Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✗41% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Celje vs Maribor preview and prediction
The match
Maribor travel to face Celje in the 1. SNL on Saturday 1 August (19:15 WAT). Celje are 3rd with 23 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Maribor sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celje's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Maribor's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Brinje-Grosuplje 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maribor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Celje and 1.3 for Maribor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celje 41%, draw 22%, Maribor 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celje 1–1 Maribor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celje41%fair 2.46 · @2.42
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Maribor37%fair 2.71 · @2.54
2.78Expected goals
1.43Celje xG
1.35Maribor xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Celje 1.4 – 1.3 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
41%
2.46
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
Celje – last 6
DDDLDL
28 Jul
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
D
17 Jul
vs Mura
2–2
D
8 Jul
vs MTK Budapest
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Cukaricki
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 6
WDDDDW
25 Jul
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
19 Jul
@ Aluminij
0–0
D
10 Jul
vs Charlton
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Železničar Pančevo
1–1
D
1 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
3–3
D
23 May
vs Aluminij
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celje and Maribor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Celje vs Maribor?
On our numbers Celje have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maribor 37%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Celje 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Maribor?
Celje vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
