Value bet: Olimpija Ljubljana to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpija Ljubljana to win ✗51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana preview and prediction
The match
Olimpija Ljubljana travel to Mestni stadion Fazanerija in the 1. SNL on Saturday 25 July (17:00 WAT) to face Mura. Mura are 9th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Olimpija Ljubljana sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Mura's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Celje 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Olimpija Ljubljana's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Bravo 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Mura and 1.7 for Olimpija Ljubljana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mura 28%, draw 21%, Olimpija Ljubljana 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Olimpija Ljubljana to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mura 1–1 Olimpija Ljubljana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mura28%fair 3.52 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
Olimpija Ljubljana51%fair 1.96 · @2.15
2.85Expected goals
1.17Mura xG
1.68Olimpija Ljubljana xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mura 1.2 – 1.7 Olimpija Ljubljana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpija Ljubljana to win✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpija Ljubljana / FT Olimpija Ljubljana✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Mura – last 6
DLDLLW
17 Jul
@ Celje
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Beltinci
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs FC Noah
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Sturm Graz
0–5
L
22 May
@ Radomlje
2–3
L
17 May
vs Maribor
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Olimpija Ljubljana – last 6
LLDLWW
18 Jul
vs Bravo
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs LNZ Cherkasy
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Cukaricki
0–3
L
23 Jun
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
4–0
W
17 May
vs Radomlje
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mura and Olimpija Ljubljana.
What is the prediction for Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
On our numbers Mura have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Olimpija Ljubljana 51%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our predicted score is Mura 1–1 Olimpija Ljubljana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
