Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStranraer to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceStranraer or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Stranraer vs Dumbarton preview and prediction
The match
Dumbarton travel to Stair Park in the League Two on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT) to face Stranraer. Stranraer are 1st with 27 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Dumbarton sit 6th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Stranraer's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Forfar Athletic 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dumbarton's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Cove Rangers 1–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Stranraer arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Dumbarton 2–0 Stranraer.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Stranraer and 0.6 for Dumbarton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Stranraer to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stranraer 1–0 Dumbarton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stranraer66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.80
Dumbarton12%fair 8.43 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.86Stranraer xG
0.64Dumbarton xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Stranraer 1.9 – 0.6 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Our pick is Stranraer to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers Stranraer have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dumbarton 12%.
How many goals will there be in Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is Stranraer 1–0 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Stranraer vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stair Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
