Value bet: Stirling Albion to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKelty Hearts to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion preview and prediction
The match
Kelty Hearts host Stirling Albion in the League Two on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at New Central Park. Kelty Hearts are 5th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Stirling Albion sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kelty Hearts's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Forfar Athletic 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stirling Albion's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Dumbarton 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Kelty Hearts and 1.0 for Stirling Albion. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Value angle: Stirling Albion to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kelty Hearts 1–1 Stirling Albion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kelty Hearts41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.45
Stirling Albion36%fair 2.74 · @3.20
2.12Expected goals
1.11Kelty Hearts xG
1.02Stirling Albion xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 1.1 – 1.0 Stirling Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kelty Hearts to win✓
41%
2.44
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kelty Hearts / FT Kelty Hearts✓
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LLWLDL
1 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Brora Rangers
3–2
W
14 Jul
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Queen of the South
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stirling Albion – last 6
WLLWLL
1 Aug
vs Dumbarton
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Montrose
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Spartans
3–1
W
11 Jul
vs Dundee Utd
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Tranent Juniors
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kelty Hearts and Stirling Albion.
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stirling Albion 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 1–1 Stirling Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
