Premier League · England · Amex Stadium

Brighton

WWDLD

2–0

Brentford

WLDLD

Brighton vs Brentford prediction & analysis

81%

Footrivo pick

Brighton or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.25Odds

Value bet: Brighton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBrighton to win ✓59% · @1.85

Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓81% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Win chances

Brighton59%fair 1.71 · @1.85

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.00

Brentford19%fair 5.32 · @3.80

3.08Expected goals

2.01Brighton xG

1.07Brentford xG

64%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–110%

2–09%

1–09%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Brighton 2.0 – 1.1 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Brighton hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Brentford.

Brighton have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Brentford have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 for Brighton, 1.1 for Brentford). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Brighton have won 1, Brentford have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Brighton or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Brighton to win at 1.85 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Brighton to win ✓	59%	1.71	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Brighton or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.57	1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.57
Half-time result	Brighton ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Brighton / FT Brighton ✓	38%	2.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.06	–

Form

Brighton – last 6

WWDLDW

5 Nov	@ Getafe	1–0	W
31 Oct	@ Manchester City	1–0	W
28 Oct	@ Manchester City	2–2	D
25 Oct	@ Liverpool	0–2	L
22 Oct	@ FK Jablonec	0–0	D
18 Oct	vs Crystal Palace	5–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Brentford – last 6

WLDLDW

31 Oct	vs Nottingham Forest	2–0	W
28 Oct	@ Sunderland	2–3	L
25 Oct	@ Hull City	1–1	D
17 Oct	vs Liverpool	1–2	L
10 Oct	@ Aston Villa	2–2	D
18 Sep	vs Chelsea	3–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026

Brentford v Brighton

0–2

Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

More Premier League predictions

League hub →

Crystal Palace1

Liverpool3 132265 2Liverpool to win 65%@1.57 ✓ FT

Ipswich1

Bournemouth2 132364 X2Bournemouth or draw 87%@1.25 ✓ FT

Sunderland1

Chelsea0 222058 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗ FT

Manchester United4

Aston Villa4 432136 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brighton vs Brentford?

Our pick is Brighton or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?

On our numbers Brighton have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brentford 19%.

How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Brentford?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Brighton vs Brentford?

Brighton vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.