Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Everton to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Newcastle vs Everton preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle host Everton in the Premier League on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at St. James' Park. Newcastle are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Everton sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Everton 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Everton's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Newcastle 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Everton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 October 2026, finished Everton 3–1 Newcastle. Across their last 2 meetings Newcastle have won 0, Everton 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Newcastle and 1.3 for Everton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Everton to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Newcastle 1–1 Everton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Everton37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
2.69Expected goals
1.37Newcastle xG
1.32Everton xG
62%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.4 – 1.3 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Everton 37%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
