Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Chelsea to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Chelsea vs Tottenham preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Chelsea take on Tottenham on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are 5th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Tottenham sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chelsea's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Everton 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Tottenham's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Coventry 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chelsea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Chelsea 1–2 Tottenham. Across their last 2 meetings Chelsea have won 1, Tottenham 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Chelsea and 1.0 for Tottenham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea 65%, draw 21%, Tottenham 14%.
Safer route: Chelsea or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Chelsea to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chelsea or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.90
Tottenham14%fair 7.17 · @3.90
3.29Expected goals
2.28Chelsea xG
1.01Tottenham xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chelsea 2.3 – 1.0 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Chelsea or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tottenham 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea vs Tottenham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
