Brentford host Chelsea in the Premier League on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Gtech Community Stadium. Brentford are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Brentford's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Reading 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Chelsea's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Hull City 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for Brentford and 1.9 for Chelsea. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brentford 37%, draw 22%, Chelsea 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Brentford 1–1 Chelsea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brentford37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
Chelsea41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
3.75Expected goals
1.82Brentford xG
1.93Chelsea xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Brentford 1.8 – 1.9 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✗
41%
2.44
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.56
–
Form
Brentford – last 6
WDDDWW
15 Sep
@ Reading
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Leeds
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Birmingham
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Tottenham
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 6
DWLWWW
12 Sep
vs Hull City
2–2
D
9 Sep
vs Leeds
6–3
W
6 Sep
@ Arsenal
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Brighton
4–3
W
27 Aug
vs Luton
2–0
W
24 Aug
@ Fulham
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brentford and Chelsea.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Brentford vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Brentford have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelsea 41%.
How many goals will there be in Brentford vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Brentford 1–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Brentford vs Chelsea?
Brentford vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gtech Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
