Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Bournemouth vs Liverpool preview and prediction
The match
Liverpool travel to Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT) to face Bournemouth. Bournemouth are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Liverpool sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bournemouth's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Real Sociedad 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Liverpool's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Tottenham 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Liverpool arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Bournemouth and 1.7 for Liverpool. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bournemouth 30%, draw 20%, Liverpool 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Bournemouth 1–1 Liverpool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bournemouth30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
Liverpool49%fair 2.03 · @2.15
2.88Expected goals
1.23Bournemouth xG
1.65Liverpool xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.2 – 1.7 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
49%
2.03
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Bournemouth – last 6
WDWDDL
17 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Brentford
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Lincoln
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Everton
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
WDWWDD
15 Sep
vs Tottenham
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Fulham
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Atletico Madrid
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Ipswich
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Liverpool.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Liverpool 49%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Bournemouth vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
