Liverpool travel to Portman Road in the Premier League on Friday 4 September (20:00 WAT) to face Ipswich. Ipswich are 14th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Liverpool sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ipswich's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Manchester United 2–5 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Liverpool's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Nottingham Forest 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ipswich arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.2 for Ipswich and 2.8 for Liverpool. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ipswich 12%, draw 18%, Liverpool 70%.
Safer route: Liverpool or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Liverpool to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ipswich 1–2 Liverpool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ipswich12%fair 8.32 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.65
Liverpool70%fair 1.43 · @1.48
3.94Expected goals
1.16Ipswich xG
2.78Liverpool xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Ipswich 1.2 – 2.8 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
70%
1.43
1.48
Double chance
Liverpool or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Ipswich – last 6
LWWWWW
30 Aug
@ Manchester United
2–5
L
25 Aug
vs Leicester
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Sunderland
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Union Berlin
4–2
W
8 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
DDDLLW
29 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Como
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Leeds
2–4
L
30 Jul
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ipswich and Liverpool.
Our pick is Liverpool to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Ipswich vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Ipswich have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Liverpool 70%.
How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Liverpool?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–2 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Ipswich vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
