Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.56
Arsenal vs Chelsea preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Arsenal take on Chelsea on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal are 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arsenal's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Aston Villa 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chelsea's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Brighton 4–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Chelsea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Arsenal and 1.4 for Chelsea. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal 60%, draw 23%, Chelsea 17%.
Safer route: Arsenal or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.75
Chelsea17%fair 5.86 · @4.60
4.00Expected goals
2.58Arsenal xG
1.42Chelsea xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Arsenal 2.6 – 1.4 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelsea 17%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Chelsea?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
