Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Newcastle to win @ 2.88 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle to win ✓42% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Tottenham vs Newcastle preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 29 August (17:30 WAT) to face Tottenham. Tottenham are 11th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Newcastle sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tottenham's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Charlton 5–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Newcastle's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat West Brom 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tottenham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Tottenham and 1.8 for Newcastle. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tottenham 35%, draw 22%, Newcastle 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Newcastle to win at 2.88 – 42% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tottenham 1–1 Newcastle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tottenham35%fair 2.84 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Newcastle42%fair 2.36 · @2.88
3.50Expected goals
1.66Tottenham xG
1.84Newcastle xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Tottenham 1.7 – 1.8 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✓
42%
2.36
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.80
–
Form
Tottenham – last 6
WLDWDW
26 Aug
vs Charlton
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Brentford
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Getafe
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Chelsea
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newcastle – last 6
WDDLLW
26 Aug
vs West Brom
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Liverpool
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tottenham and Newcastle.
What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tottenham vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Tottenham have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Newcastle 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Tottenham 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Tottenham vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
