Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal to win ✓77% · @1.16
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Arsenal vs Coventry preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal host Coventry in the Premier League on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal are 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Coventry sit 17th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arsenal's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Manchester City 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Coventry's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Monaco 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Coventry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.5 for Arsenal and 0.6 for Coventry. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal 77%, draw 16%, Coventry 7%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Arsenal 2–0 Coventry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal77%fair 1.30 · @1.16
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @6.80
Coventry7%fair 13.93 · @16.00
3.10Expected goals
2.47Arsenal xG
0.64Coventry xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Arsenal 2.5 – 0.6 Coventry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
77%
1.30
1.16
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Half-time result
Arsenal ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Arsenal – last 6
WDLLWW
16 Aug
vs Manchester City
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Real Betis
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Girona
4–1
W
24 May
@ Crystal Palace
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Coventry – last 6
WWDWWW
14 Aug
vs Monaco
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Northampton
0–0
D
2 May
@ Watford
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Wrexham
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Portsmouth
5–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Coventry.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Arsenal vs Coventry?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Coventry 7%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Coventry?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Coventry?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 2–0 Coventry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Coventry?
Arsenal vs Coventry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
