Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Brasil DE Pelotas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Gaúcha sees Santa Cruz RS take on Brasil DE Pelotas on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Santa Cruz RS's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Gramadense 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Brasil DE Pelotas's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Guarany de Bagé 3–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Santa Cruz RS and 1.8 for Brasil DE Pelotas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz RS 14%, draw 22%, Brasil DE Pelotas 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Brasil DE Pelotas to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Cruz RS 0–1 Brasil DE Pelotas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz RS14%fair 7.16 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.00
Brasil DE Pelotas64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
2.55Expected goals
0.72Santa Cruz RS xG
1.84Brasil DE Pelotas xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz RS 0.7 – 1.8 Brasil DE Pelotas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasil DE Pelotas to win✗
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Brasil DE Pelotas or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Brasil DE Pelotas ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Santa Cruz RS – last 5
DDDWW
17 Jun
vs Gramadense
2–2
D
14 Jun
@ Brasil Farroupilha
1–1
D
8 Jun
@ Monsoon
1–1
D
30 May
vs Monsoon
3–1
W
13 May
@ Gramadense
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 6
DWDDLW
17 Jun
@ Guarany de Bagé
3–3
D
10 Jun
vs Farroupilha
4–0
W
7 Jun
@ Azuriz
1–1
D
4 Jun
@ Bagé
1–1
D
31 May
vs Blumenau
1–2
L
27 May
vs Bagé
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Cruz RS and Brasil DE Pelotas.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our pick is Brasil DE Pelotas to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
On our numbers Santa Cruz RS have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brasil DE Pelotas 64%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz RS 0–1 Brasil DE Pelotas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil DE Pelotas (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
