Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Belgium W to win @ 2.38 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelgium W to win ✗53% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Poland W vs Belgium W preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup Women Qualification Europe sees Poland W take on Belgium W on Tuesday 13 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Polsat Plus Arena.
Form guide
Poland W's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Belgium W 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Belgium W's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Poland W 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.6 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belgium W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 October 2026, finished Belgium W 1–0 Poland W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.3 for Poland W and 2.0 for Belgium W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Poland W 26%, draw 21%, Belgium W 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Belgium W to win at 2.38 – 53% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Poland W 1–1 Belgium W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poland W26%fair 3.87 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Belgium W53%fair 1.88 · @2.38
3.29Expected goals
1.32Poland W xG
1.97Belgium W xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–17%
0–27%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Poland W 1.3 – 2.0 Belgium W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Poland W vs Belgium W?
On our numbers Poland W have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Belgium W 53%.
How many goals will there be in Poland W vs Belgium W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poland W vs Belgium W?
Our predicted score is Poland W 1–1 Belgium W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Poland W vs Belgium W?
Poland W vs Belgium W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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