Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W preview and prediction
The match
Carolina Ascent W host Lexington W in the USL Super League on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Carolina Ascent W are 1st with 27 points from 12 games, while Lexington W sit 5th on 14 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Carolina Ascent W's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Fort Lauderdale United W 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lexington W's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Sporting JAX W 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Carolina Ascent W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Lexington W 0–1 Carolina Ascent W. Across their last 3 meetings Carolina Ascent W have won 2, Lexington W 0, with 1 draw and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Carolina Ascent W and 1.1 for Lexington W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carolina Ascent W 44%, draw 22%, Lexington W 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Carolina Ascent W 1–1 Lexington W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carolina Ascent W44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Lexington W34%fair 2.97 · @3.00
2.52Expected goals
1.37Carolina Ascent W xG
1.15Lexington W xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Carolina Ascent W 1.4 – 1.1 Lexington W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
On our numbers Carolina Ascent W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lexington W 34%.
How many goals will there be in Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Our predicted score is Carolina Ascent W 1–1 Lexington W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
