Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W preview and prediction
The match
The USL Super League sees Lexington W take on Sporting JAX W on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Lexington W are 5th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting JAX W sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lexington W's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Tampa Bay Sun W 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sporting JAX W's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Fort Lauderdale United W 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Sporting JAX W 0–1 Lexington W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Lexington W and 1.3 for Sporting JAX W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lexington W 45%, draw 21%, Sporting JAX W 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lexington W 1–1 Sporting JAX W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lexington W45%fair 2.22 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
Sporting JAX W34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
2.80Expected goals
1.52Lexington W xG
1.28Sporting JAX W xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lexington W 1.5 – 1.3 Sporting JAX W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
On our numbers Lexington W have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting JAX W 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
Our predicted score is Lexington W 1–1 Sporting JAX W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W (USL Super League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
