Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Lexington W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lexington W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLexington W to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceLexington W or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Sun W travel to Toyota Stadium in the USL Super League on Sunday 18 October (00:00 WAT) to face Lexington W. Lexington W are 5th with 14 points from 11 games, while Tampa Bay Sun W sit 7th on 10 points.
Form guide
Lexington W's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Fort Lauderdale United W 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tampa Bay Sun W's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Carolina Ascent W 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 October 2026, finished Tampa Bay Sun W 1–1 Lexington W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Lexington W and 0.8 for Tampa Bay Sun W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lexington W 60%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Sun W 18%.
Safer route: Lexington W or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Lexington W to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lexington W or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lexington W 1–0 Tampa Bay Sun W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lexington W60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Tampa Bay Sun W18%fair 5.70 · @3.60
2.60Expected goals
1.77Lexington W xG
0.83Tampa Bay Sun W xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lexington W 1.8 – 0.8 Tampa Bay Sun W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?
Our pick is Lexington W or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?
On our numbers Lexington W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tampa Bay Sun W 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?
Our predicted score is Lexington W 1–0 Tampa Bay Sun W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
