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USL Super League · USA · American Legion Memorial Stadium

Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCarolina Ascent W to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceCarolina Ascent W or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84

Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W preview and prediction

The match

Tampa Bay Sun W travel to American Legion Memorial Stadium in the USL Super League on Sunday 30 August (00:00 WAT) to face Carolina Ascent W. Carolina Ascent W are 1st with 27 points from 12 games, while Tampa Bay Sun W sit 7th on 10 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Carolina Ascent W's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Dallas Trinity W 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tampa Bay Sun W's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Sporting JAX W 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Carolina Ascent W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Tampa Bay Sun W 1–2 Carolina Ascent W. Across their last 2 meetings Carolina Ascent W have won 2, Tampa Bay Sun W 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Carolina Ascent W and 0.9 for Tampa Bay Sun W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 47%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Carolina Ascent W 2–0 Tampa Bay Sun W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Carolina Ascent W63%fair 1.60 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.70
Tampa Bay Sun W14%fair 7.18 · @5.25
2.89Expected goals
2.02Carolina Ascent W xG
0.87Tampa Bay Sun W xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Carolina Ascent W 2.0 – 0.9 Tampa Bay Sun W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarolina Ascent W to win ✗63%1.601.53
Double chanceCarolina Ascent W or draw ✗86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.901.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Half-time resultCarolina Ascent W ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carolina Ascent W / FT Carolina Ascent W ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%8.84–

Form

Carolina Ascent W – last 6

WWDWWW
23 Aug@ Dallas Trinity W3–1W
16 Aug@ DC Power W1–0W
31 May@ Lexington W1–1D
24 May@ Sporting JAX W1–0W
17 Mayvs Sporting JAX W3–1W
10 May@ Fort Lauderdale United W3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Sun W – last 6

LDLWLL
23 Aug@ Sporting JAX W2–3L
16 Aug@ Dallas Trinity W1–1D
10 Mayvs Dallas Trinity W0–2L
3 May@ Fort Lauderdale United W2–1W
26 Aprvs Carolina Ascent W1–2L
12 Aprvs DC Power W0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Sun W v Carolina Ascent W1–2
14 Mar 2026Carolina Ascent W v Tampa Bay Sun W1–0
Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W head-to-head page →

USL Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W12831+1227
2DC Power W12723+923
3Sporting JAX W11452+517
4Dallas Trinity W11434015
5Lexington W11425+314
6Brooklyn W12336-1212
7Tampa Bay Sun W11245-510

More USL Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

On our numbers Carolina Ascent W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tampa Bay Sun W 14%.

How many goals will there be in Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Our predicted score is Carolina Ascent W 2–0 Tampa Bay Sun W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.