Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Alloa Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Alloa Athletic take on Queen of the South on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Recreation Park. Alloa Athletic are 9th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Queen of the South sit 8th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alloa Athletic's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat East Fife 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Queen of the South's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Ross County 1–7 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Queen of the South 0–2 Alloa Athletic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Alloa Athletic and 1.0 for Queen of the South. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alloa Athletic 61%, draw 24%, Queen of the South 15%.
Safer route: Alloa Athletic or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Alloa Athletic to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alloa Athletic or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alloa Athletic 2–1 Queen of the South. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alloa Athletic61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Queen of the South15%fair 6.71 · @4.00
3.23Expected goals
2.19Alloa Athletic xG
1.04Queen of the South xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 2.2 – 1.0 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
Our pick is Alloa Athletic or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Queen of the South 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 2–1 Queen of the South, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South (League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
