Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 2.80 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗44% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Airdrie United host Alloa Athletic in the League One on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Albert Bartlett Stadium. Airdrie United are 5th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Alloa Athletic sit 9th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Airdrie United's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat St. Mirren U21 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Alloa Athletic's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Clydebank 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alloa Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 May 2026, finished Alloa Athletic 1–0 Airdrie United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Airdrie United and 1.1 for Alloa Athletic. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Airdrie United 33%, draw 22%, Alloa Athletic 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Alloa Athletic to win at 2.80 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Airdrie United 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Airdrie United33%fair 2.99 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Alloa Athletic44%fair 2.27 · @2.80
1.92Expected goals
0.86Airdrie United xG
1.06Alloa Athletic xG
53%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Airdrie United 0.9 – 1.1 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 44%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Airdrie United 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
