Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Alloa Athletic travel to Balmoral Stadium in the League One on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT) to face Cove Rangers. Cove Rangers are 10th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Alloa Athletic sit 9th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cove Rangers's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Hamilton Academical 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Alloa Athletic's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Peterhead 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alloa Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.7 for Cove Rangers and 1.0 for Alloa Athletic. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely.
Value angle: Alloa Athletic to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Cove Rangers 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cove Rangers29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Alloa Athletic48%fair 2.07 · @2.25
1.70Expected goals
0.68Cove Rangers xG
1.02Alloa Athletic xG
54%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–018%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–26%
From our goals model: Cove Rangers 0.7 – 1.0 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✗
48%
2.07
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
Cove Rangers – last 6
LWWLLL
29 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Dundee United II
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Peterhead
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ East Kilbride
0–3
L
11 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
2–4
L
8 Aug
@ East Fife
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alloa Athletic – last 6
DWWWWL
29 Aug
vs Peterhead
1–1
D
25 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Queen of the South
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Montrose
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cove Rangers and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Cove Rangers have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 48%.
How many goals will there be in Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Cove Rangers 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Balmoral Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
