Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓88% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.21
Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead preview and prediction
The match
Peterhead travel to Recreation Park in the League One on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT) to face Alloa Athletic. Alloa Athletic are 9th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Peterhead sit 7th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alloa Athletic's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Motherwell U21 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Peterhead's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Dundee II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Peterhead 3–1 Alloa Athletic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Alloa Athletic and 0.4 for Peterhead. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Safer route: Alloa Athletic or draw (88%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Alloa Athletic to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alloa Athletic or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alloa Athletic 1–0 Peterhead. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alloa Athletic64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.30
Peterhead12%fair 8.02 · @3.70
1.75Expected goals
1.37Alloa Athletic xG
0.38Peterhead xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.4 – 0.4 Peterhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our pick is Alloa Athletic or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Peterhead 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–0 Peterhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
