Alloa Athletic host Montrose in the League One on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Recreation Park. Alloa Athletic are 9th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Montrose sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alloa Athletic's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Stranraer 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Montrose's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Fraserburgh 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montrose arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Alloa Athletic and 0.9 for Montrose. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Alloa Athletic to win – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alloa Athletic 1–0 Montrose. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alloa Athletic52%fair 1.94 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Montrose27%fair 3.76 · @3.30
2.25Expected goals
1.38Alloa Athletic xG
0.87Montrose xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.4 – 0.9 Montrose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Alloa Athletic – last 6
WLDLDD
11 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs East Fife
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Stranraer
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montrose – last 6
WLLLWW
11 Aug
vs Fraserburgh
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ross County
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Hamilton Academical
0–5
L
25 Jul
vs Spartans
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Arbroath
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Montrose.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Our pick is Alloa Athletic to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Montrose 27%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–0 Montrose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Alloa Athletic vs Montrose (League One) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
