Value bet: East Kilbride to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEast Kilbride to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.98
Airdrie United vs East Kilbride preview and prediction
The match
Airdrie United host East Kilbride in the League One on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Albert Bartlett Stadium. Airdrie United are 5th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while East Kilbride sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Airdrie United's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Cove Rangers 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
East Kilbride's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Queen of the South 5–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
East Kilbride arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Airdrie United and 1.9 for East Kilbride. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Airdrie United 23%, draw 17%, East Kilbride 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: East Kilbride to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Airdrie United 1–1 East Kilbride. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Airdrie United23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @3.55
East Kilbride59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
2.93Expected goals
1.05Airdrie United xG
1.88East Kilbride xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Airdrie United 1.1 – 1.9 East Kilbride expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Kilbride to win✗
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Half-time result
East Kilbride ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.98
–
Form
Airdrie United – last 6
DLWLLL
1 Aug
@ Cove Rangers
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ross County
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Annan Athletic
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Clyde
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Dundee
2–4
L
7 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
East Kilbride – last 6
WLWLWW
1 Aug
vs Queen of the South
5–1
W
21 Jul
@ ST Mirren
3–4
L
18 Jul
vs Dumbarton
5–3
W
14 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
2–3
L
11 Jul
vs Dunfermline
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Kelty Hearts
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Airdrie United and East Kilbride.
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs East Kilbride?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Airdrie United vs East Kilbride?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and East Kilbride 59%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs East Kilbride?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs East Kilbride?
Our predicted score is Airdrie United 1–1 East Kilbride, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Airdrie United vs East Kilbride?
Airdrie United vs East Kilbride (League One) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
