Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivingston to win69% · @1.25
Double chanceLivingston or draw90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.21
Livingston vs Morton preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Livingston take on Morton on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena. Livingston are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Morton sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Livingston's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Inverness CT 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Morton's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Stenhousemuir 4–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 September 2026, finished Morton 1–4 Livingston.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Livingston and 0.8 for Morton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Livingston to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Livingston 2–0 Morton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livingston69%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @5.00
Morton10%fair 9.67 · @10.00
2.96Expected goals
2.11Livingston xG
0.84Morton xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Livingston 2.1 – 0.8 Morton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Livingston
Morton
Attack vs Championship average
+15%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+45%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.98
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Livingston vs Morton?
On our numbers Livingston have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Morton 10%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Morton?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Morton?
Our predicted score is Livingston 2–0 Morton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Morton?
Livingston vs Morton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
