Championship · Scotland · Firhill StadiumPartick vs Stenhousemuir prediction & analysis
Partick to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Partick 1.3 – 0.3 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Partick are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 10% for Stenhousemuir.
Partick have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Stenhousemuir have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.6 goals (1.3 for Partick, 0.3 for Stenhousemuir). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (27%), 0–0 (20%), 2–0 (18%).
In their last 2 meetings, Partick have won 0, Stenhousemuir have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Partick to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Partick to win ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Partick or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Partick / FT Partick ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 27% | 3.76 | – |
Form
Partick – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Dunfermline | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Livingston | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Arbroath | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Raith Rovers | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
Stenhousemuir – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Raith Rovers | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Arbroath | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Partick | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Sep 2026 | Stenhousemuir v Partick | 1–0 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Partick v Stenhousemuir | 2–2 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Partick to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Partick have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stenhousemuir 10%.
How many goals will there be in Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
Partick vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.