Championship · Scotland · The Home of the Set Fare ArenaLivingston vs Arbroath prediction & analysis
Livingston to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Livingston 1.7 – 0.5 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Livingston are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 11% for Arbroath.
Livingston have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Arbroath have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.2 conceded. Livingston come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.7 for Livingston, 0.5 for Arbroath). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Livingston have won 0, Arbroath have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Livingston to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Livingston to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| Double chance | Livingston or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Livingston ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Livingston / FT Livingston ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 19% | 5.35 | – |
Form
Livingston – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Dunfermline | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Partick | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Ayr Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Raith Rovers | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Inverness CT | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Morton | 4–1 | W |
Arbroath – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Morton | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Partick | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Queen's Park | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Raith Rovers | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 29 Aug 2026 | Arbroath v Livingston | 1–0 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Arbroath?
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Livingston vs Arbroath?
On our numbers Livingston have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arbroath 11%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Arbroath?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Livingston vs Arbroath?
Livingston vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.