Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPartick to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chancePartick or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓23% · fair 4.34
Ayr Utd vs Partick preview and prediction
The match
Partick travel to Somerset Park in the Championship on Friday 16 October (19:30 WAT) to face Ayr Utd. Ayr Utd are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Partick sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ayr Utd's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Dunfermline 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Partick's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Livingston 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Partick arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Partick 1–0 Ayr Utd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.4 for Ayr Utd and 1.4 for Partick. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ayr Utd 12%, draw 25%, Partick 63%.
Safer route: Partick or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Partick to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayr Utd12%fair 8.26 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Partick63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
1.79Expected goals
0.41Ayr Utd xG
1.38Partick xG
51%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–123%
0–017%
0–216%
1–19%
0–37%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 0.4 – 1.4 Partick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Partick to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Partick?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Partick 63%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Partick?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Partick?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Partick?
Ayr Utd vs Partick (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
