Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.20
Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline preview and prediction
The match
Stenhousemuir host Dunfermline in the Championship on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Ochilview Park. Stenhousemuir are 4th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Dunfermline sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stenhousemuir's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Partick 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dunfermline's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Queen's Park 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.6 for Stenhousemuir and 1.0 for Dunfermline. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenhousemuir29%fair 3.49 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Dunfermline48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
1.64Expected goals
0.65Stenhousemuir xG
0.99Dunfermline xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
0–119%
1–013%
1–112%
0–210%
1–26%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.6 – 1.0 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunfermline to win✓
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.20
–
Form
Stenhousemuir – last 6
LDLWWW
24 Oct
@ Partick
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Raith Rovers
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Inverness CT
0–2
L
25 Sep
@ Ayr Utd
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arbroath
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Partick
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dunfermline – last 6
WDDDLW
24 Oct
@ Queen's Park
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Partick
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Livingston
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Ayr Utd
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Aberdeen
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Morton
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dunfermline 48%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
