Livingston vs Stenhousemuir preview and prediction
The match
Stenhousemuir travel to The Home of the Set Fare Arena in the Championship on Friday 4 September (19:30 WAT) to face Livingston. Livingston are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Stenhousemuir sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Livingston's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Arbroath 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stenhousemuir's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Inverness CT 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Stenhousemuir 0–0 Livingston.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Livingston and 0.6 for Stenhousemuir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Livingston 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livingston70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @4.20
Stenhousemuir12%fair 8.15 · @8.25
2.51Expected goals
1.91Livingston xG
0.60Stenhousemuir xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.9 – 0.6 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Livingston have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stenhousemuir 12%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
