Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Motherwell to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.24
Motherwell vs ST Mirren preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Motherwell take on ST Mirren on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fir Park. Motherwell are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while ST Mirren sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Motherwell's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with ST Johnstone 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
ST Mirren's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Hibernian 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
ST Mirren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Motherwell and 0.9 for ST Mirren. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Motherwell 61%, draw 23%, ST Mirren 16%.
Safer route: Motherwell or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Motherwell to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Motherwell or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.70
ST Mirren16%fair 6.22 · @3.80
2.91Expected goals
1.99Motherwell xG
0.92ST Mirren xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Motherwell 2.0 – 0.9 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Motherwell or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ST Mirren 16%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Motherwell vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
