Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeltic to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Motherwell vs Celtic preview and prediction
The match
Motherwell host Celtic in the Premiership on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Fir Park. Motherwell are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Celtic sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Motherwell's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Dundee 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Celtic's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Rangers 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Celtic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Motherwell 2–3 Celtic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Motherwell and 2.0 for Celtic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Celtic to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Motherwell 0–1 Celtic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell14%fair 6.91 · @4.60
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @4.20
Celtic68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
2.71Expected goals
0.74Motherwell xG
1.97Celtic xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motherwell 0.7 – 2.0 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celtic to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Motherwell vs Celtic?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Celtic 68%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Celtic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 0–1 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Celtic?
Motherwell vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
