Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Hibernian to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHibernian to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35
ST Johnstone vs Hibernian preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees ST Johnstone take on Hibernian on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at McDiarmid Park. ST Johnstone are 7th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Hibernian sit 10th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
ST Johnstone's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Dundee 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hibernian's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Heart Of Midlothian 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for ST Johnstone and 1.7 for Hibernian. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Johnstone 34%, draw 22%, Hibernian 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Hibernian to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ST Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Johnstone34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Hibernian43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
3.25Expected goals
1.52ST Johnstone xG
1.73Hibernian xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.5 – 1.7 Hibernian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
43%
2.32
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
ST Johnstone – last 6
DLLWDL
2 Sep
@ Dundee
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ ST Mirren
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
25 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Inverness CT
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hibernian – last 6
LWLDWD
3 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Dundee
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Gent
2–3
L
20 Aug
@ Gent
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Partick
1–0
W
13 Aug
@ Shkendija
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Hibernian.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hibernian 43%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
ST Johnstone vs Hibernian (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
