The Premiership sees ST Mirren take on Motherwell on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The SMISA Stadium. ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Motherwell sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ST Mirren's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Rangers 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Motherwell's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ST Mirren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for ST Mirren and 0.7 for Motherwell. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Mirren 39%, draw 24%, Motherwell 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: ST Mirren 1–1 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Mirren39%fair 2.58 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Motherwell37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
1.50Expected goals
0.76ST Mirren xG
0.74Motherwell xG
50%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–06%
0–26%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 0.8 – 0.7 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Mirren to win✗
39%
2.58
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Form
ST Mirren – last 6
LWWLWW
16 Aug
@ Rangers
1–5
L
8 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Falkirk
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs East Kilbride
4–3
W
18 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
LLDWDD
27 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motherwell 37%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
ST Mirren vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
