Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeltic to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Celtic vs Falkirk preview and prediction
The match
Falkirk travel to Celtic Park in the Premiership on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT) to face Celtic. Celtic are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Falkirk sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Celtic's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Lask Linz 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Falkirk's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Motherwell 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celtic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Celtic and 0.8 for Falkirk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celtic 70%, draw 16%, Falkirk 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celtic to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Celtic 2–0 Falkirk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celtic70%fair 1.43 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @6.75
Falkirk14%fair 7.34 · @11.50
2.92Expected goals
2.14Celtic xG
0.78Falkirk xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celtic 2.1 – 0.8 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtic to win✓
70%
1.43
1.20
Double chance
Celtic or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Half-time result
Celtic ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtic / FT Celtic✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Celtic – last 6
LWWWWD
25 Aug
@ Lask Linz
1–4
L
19 Aug
vs Lask Linz
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Dundee Utd
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Kilmarnock
5–1
W
3 Aug
vs Dundee
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs AC Milan
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
DLWDWL
9 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs ST Mirren
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Stranraer
3–0
W
21 Jul
@ Alloa Athletic
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Genk
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Ayr Utd
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celtic and Falkirk.
Our pick is Celtic to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Celtic vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Celtic have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Falkirk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Celtic 2–0 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Celtic vs Falkirk?
Celtic vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
