Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultST Mirren to win ✓42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98
ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone preview and prediction
The match
ST Johnstone travel to The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT) to face ST Mirren. ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while ST Johnstone sit 7th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ST Mirren's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Falkirk 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ST Johnstone's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Kilmarnock 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for ST Mirren and 1.7 for ST Johnstone. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Mirren 42%, draw 23%, ST Johnstone 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ST Mirren 1–1 ST Johnstone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Mirren42%fair 2.39 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
ST Johnstone35%fair 2.83 · @2.92
3.57Expected goals
1.87ST Mirren xG
1.71ST Johnstone xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.9 – 1.7 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Mirren to win✓
42%
2.39
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Mirren / FT ST Mirren✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.98
–
Form
ST Mirren – last 6
WLWWWW
1 Aug
@ Falkirk
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs East Kilbride
4–3
W
18 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–0
W
11 Jul
@ Dumbarton
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Arbroath
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ST Johnstone – last 6
WDLWWW
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
25 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Inverness CT
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Morton
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and ST Johnstone.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ST Johnstone 35%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
