Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Cerrito to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
Plaza Colonia travel to face Cerrito in the Segunda División on Sunday 28 June (19:00 WAT). Cerrito are 9th with 34 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Plaza Colonia sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cerrito's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to La Luz 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Plaza Colonia's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Atenas 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Cerrito and 1.3 for Plaza Colonia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerrito 34%, draw 22%, Plaza Colonia 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Cerrito to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Cerrito 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerrito34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Plaza Colonia43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
2.39Expected goals
1.10Cerrito xG
1.29Plaza Colonia xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.1 – 1.3 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
43%
2.31
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.50
–
Form
Cerrito – last 6
LLWWWD
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
30 May
@ Paysandu
1–0
W
24 May
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs La Luz
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
LWDLWD
20 Jun
vs Atenas
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Paysandu
2–1
W
5 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–0
D
30 May
@ Uruguay Montevideo
0–2
L
22 May
vs Oriental
3–1
W
17 Apr
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Plaza Colonia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
