Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Raja Beni Mellal to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaja Beni Mellal to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceRaja Beni Mellal or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia preview and prediction
The match
The Botola 2 sees Raja Beni Mellal take on Chabab Mohammédia on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade honneur de Beni Mellal.
Form guide
Raja Beni Mellal's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Widad Témara 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Chabab Mohammédia's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Stade Marocain 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Raja Beni Mellal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Raja Beni Mellal and 0.5 for Chabab Mohammédia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Raja Beni Mellal to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Raja Beni Mellal 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raja Beni Mellal61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
Chabab Mohammédia12%fair 8.36 · @4.50
1.93Expected goals
1.44Raja Beni Mellal xG
0.48Chabab Mohammédia xG
39%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
2–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Raja Beni Mellal 1.4 – 0.5 Chabab Mohammédia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raja Beni Mellal to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Raja Beni Mellal or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raja Beni Mellal / FT Raja Beni Mellal✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.76
–
Form
Raja Beni Mellal – last 6
LDDWLW
20 Jun
@ Widad Témara
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Riadi Salmi
1–1
D
23 May
vs Mouloudia Oujda
3–2
W
17 May
vs Wydad AC
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Racing de Casablanca
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chabab Mohammédia – last 5
LDLDL
20 Jun
vs Stade Marocain
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Widad Témara
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0–1
L
23 May
vs Riadi Salmi
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Racing de Casablanca
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raja Beni Mellal and Chabab Mohammédia.
What is the prediction for Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia?
On our numbers Raja Beni Mellal have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chabab Mohammédia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Our predicted score is Raja Beni Mellal 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Mohammédia (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade honneur de Beni Mellal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing de Casablanca0
Moghreb Tetouan2
Widad Témara1