Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Chabab Ben Guerir to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChabab Ben Guerir to win ✗37% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir preview and prediction
The match
The Botola 2 sees Mouloudia Oujda take on Chabab Ben Guerir on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Honneur Stadium. Mouloudia Oujda are 11th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Chabab Ben Guerir sit 12th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mouloudia Oujda's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to KAC Kenitra 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Chabab Ben Guerir's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Moghreb Tetouan 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Mouloudia Oujda and 1.0 for Chabab Ben Guerir. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Chabab Ben Guerir to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Mouloudia Oujda 1–1 Chabab Ben Guerir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mouloudia Oujda36%fair 2.75 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.70
Chabab Ben Guerir37%fair 2.73 · @3.30
2.05Expected goals
1.03Mouloudia Oujda xG
1.03Chabab Ben Guerir xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mouloudia Oujda 1.0 – 1.0 Chabab Ben Guerir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chabab Ben Guerir to win✗
37%
2.73
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Mouloudia Oujda – last 6
LWLDLD
14 Jun
@ KAC Kenitra
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs USM Oujda
2–1
W
23 May
@ Raja Beni Mellal
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ El Massira
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing de Casablanca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Wydad Fès
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chabab Ben Guerir – last 6
DWDDDL
13 Jun
vs Moghreb Tetouan
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Racing de Casablanca
1–0
W
23 May
vs El Massira
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ USM Oujda
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ KAC Kenitra
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Riadi Salmi
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mouloudia Oujda and Chabab Ben Guerir.
What is the prediction for Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
On our numbers Mouloudia Oujda have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chabab Ben Guerir 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
Our predicted score is Mouloudia Oujda 1–1 Chabab Ben Guerir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Honneur Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Widad Témara2
Raja Beni Mellal1