Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 56% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.30
Double chanceMladost Ždralovi or draw ✓80% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.92
Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar preview and prediction
The match
Vukovar travel to Gradski stadion Sisak in the First NL on Friday 21 August (16:30 WAT) to face Mladost Ždralovi. Mladost Ždralovi are 1st with 23 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Vukovar sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mladost Ždralovi's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Varteks Varaždin 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Vukovar's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 3–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Mladost Ždralovi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Mladost Ždralovi and 1.2 for Vukovar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Mladost Ždralovi or draw (80%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 56% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mladost Ždralovi or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mladost Ždralovi 1–1 Vukovar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mladost Ždralovi24%fair 4.22 · @2.30
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.30
Vukovar20%fair 5.00 · @2.62
2.57Expected goals
1.32Mladost Ždralovi xG
1.25Vukovar xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mladost Ždralovi 1.3 – 1.2 Vukovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Mladost Ždralovi or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mladost Ždralovi / FT Mladost Ždralovi✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
13%
7.92
–
Form
Mladost Ždralovi – last 6
WWDDWW
14 Aug
@ Varteks Varaždin
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
29 May
vs Kustosija
3–3
D
23 May
@ Uskok Klis
3–2
W
1 May
vs Križevci
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vukovar – last 6
LLLLDL
22 May
@ HNK Hajduk Split
3–6
L
8 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
22 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–4
L
7 Apr
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mladost Ždralovi and Vukovar.
What is the prediction for Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
Our pick is Mladost Ždralovi or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
On our numbers Mladost Ždralovi have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Vukovar 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
Our predicted score is Mladost Ždralovi 1–1 Vukovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar (First NL) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Sisak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
