Value bet: Dugopolje to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDugopolje to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Dugopolje vs Kustosija preview and prediction
The match
Dugopolje host Kustosija in the First NL on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi. Dugopolje are 15th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Kustosija sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Dugopolje's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Orijent 1919 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kustosija's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Mladost Ždralovi 3–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Dugopolje and 0.9 for Kustosija. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Dugopolje to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dugopolje 1–1 Kustosija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dugopolje63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw14%fair 7.19 · @3.80
Kustosija23%fair 4.40 · @3.75
2.78Expected goals
1.85Dugopolje xG
0.93Kustosija xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Dugopolje 1.9 – 0.9 Kustosija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dugopolje to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Dugopolje ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dugopolje / FT Dugopolje✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Dugopolje – last 6
LLWWLD
30 May
@ Orijent 1919
0–3
L
23 May
vs Rudes
0–3
L
4 May
vs HNK Cibalia
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Karlovac 1919
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Opatija
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Jarun
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kustosija – last 6
DDWWDL
29 May
@ Mladost Ždralovi
3–3
D
22 May
vs Uljanik
1–1
D
1 May
@ Grobničan Čavle
4–1
W
24 Apr
vs Lucko
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Uskok Klis
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Segesta Sisak
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dugopolje and Kustosija.
What is the prediction for Dugopolje vs Kustosija?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dugopolje vs Kustosija?
On our numbers Dugopolje have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Kustosija 23%.
How many goals will there be in Dugopolje vs Kustosija?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dugopolje vs Kustosija?
Our predicted score is Dugopolje 1–1 Kustosija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dugopolje vs Kustosija?
Dugopolje vs Kustosija (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
