1 Lyga · LithuaniaMinija vs Babrungas prediction & analysis
Minija to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Minija 2.0 – 0.7 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Minija are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for Babrungas.
Minija have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Babrungas have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Minija, 0.7 for Babrungas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Minija to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Minija to win ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Minija or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Minija ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Minija / FT Minija ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.51 | – |
Form
Minija – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Kauno Žalgiris | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Kauno Žalgiris II | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Dainava | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Transinvest 2 | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Dainava | 3–2 | W |
Babrungas – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Jonava | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Žalgiris II | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Atmosfera | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ BFA | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Garliava | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Tauras | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Babrungas.
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Minija vs Babrungas?
Our pick is Minija to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Minija vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Minija have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Babrungas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Minija vs Babrungas?
Minija vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.