1 Lyga · LithuaniaŽalgiris II vs Atmosfera prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Žalgiris II 1.5 – 1.4 Atmosfera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Žalgiris II and Atmosfera on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Žalgiris II have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Atmosfera have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Žalgiris II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Žalgiris II, 1.4 for Atmosfera). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Žalgiris II have won 0, Atmosfera have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Žalgiris II to win ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Žalgiris II / FT Žalgiris II ✗ | 23% | 4.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.58 | – |
Form
Žalgiris II – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ BFA | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Babrungas | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Tauras | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Transinvest 2 | 4–3 | W |
Atmosfera – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Garliava | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs BFA | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Babrungas | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Tauras | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Atmosfera v Žalgiris II | 2–0 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
On our numbers Žalgiris II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atmosfera 37%.
How many goals will there be in Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.