1 Lyga · LithuaniaBabrungas vs Jonava prediction & analysis
Babrungas to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Babrungas 1.8 – 0.5 Jonava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Babrungas are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 11% for Jonava.
Babrungas have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Jonava have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Babrungas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Babrungas, 0.5 for Jonava). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Babrungas have won 0, Jonava have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Babrungas to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Babrungas to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Babrungas or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Babrungas ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.60 | – |
Form
Babrungas – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Žalgiris II | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Atmosfera | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ BFA | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Garliava | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Tauras | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 4–0 | W |
Jonava – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs Tauras | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Dainava | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs FA Šiauliai II | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 22 May 2026 | Jonava v Babrungas | 1–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Babrungas vs Jonava?
Our pick is Babrungas to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Babrungas vs Jonava?
On our numbers Babrungas have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jonava 11%.
How many goals will there be in Babrungas vs Jonava?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Babrungas vs Jonava?
Babrungas vs Jonava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.